Kamala Harris’ chances of winning the presidential election in November have improved with 20 leading bookmakers after Tuesday night’s debate against Donald Trump.
An analysis by Newsweek has found that the odds of a Harris victory have been cut by Bet 365, Sky Bet, Paddy Power, Betfair, BetVictor, Ladbrokes, Unibet, Betfred, Bet MGM, BoyleSports, 10 Bet, Star Sports, Bet UK, LiveScore Bet, QuinnBet, Betway, Coral, Bet Goodman, VBet and BetOnline.
Before the debate on Tuesday, Harris had odds of winning in November of 1/1 (50 percent), according to Bet 365, Sky Bet and Paddy Power.
However, as of 3 a.m. ET on Wednesday morning, her odds had improved to 4/5 (55.6 percent) with Bet 365; 10/11 (52.4 percent) with Sky Bet; and 5/6 (54.5 percent) with Paddy Power.
Over this period the odds on Harris winning went from 1/1 to 4/5 Betfair, 11/10 to 5/6 with BetVictor, 11/10 to 5/6 with Ladbrokes, 1/1 to 41/50 for Unibet, 1/1 to 5/6 for Betfred, 1/1 to 41/50 with Bet MGM, 1/1 to 4/5 with BoyleSports, 1/1 to 9/10 with 10 Bet, 1/1 to 10/11 with Star Sports, 1/1 to 41/50 according to Bet UK, 1/1 to 41/50 with LiveScore Bet, 11/10 to 5/6 for QuinnBet, 4/5 to 1/1 for Betway, 11/10 to 5/6 with Bet Goodman and 1/1 to 4/5 for VBet.
Separately, BetOnline, which had Trump as favorite to win in November, flipped to having Harris in the lead in the debate’s immediate aftermath. At 11 p.m. on Tuesday, BetOnline gave Harris a slight lead of -120, with Trump behind on +110. By contrast, at 9 a.m. on Tuesday, Trump led with -120 against 100+ for Harris.
Newsweek contacted the Kamala Harris and Donald Trump presidential campaigns for comment on Wednesday by email outside of regular office hours.
During Tuesday’s debate, Harris mocked Trump over reports of people leaving his rallies before they had finished. She said: “I’m actually going to do something very unusual and I’m going to invite you to attend one of Donald Trump’s rallies, because it’s a really interesting to watch.
“You will see during the course of his rallies, he talks about fictional characters like Hannibal Lector. He will talk about windmills cause cancer, and what you will also notice is that people start leaving his rallies early out of exhaustion and boredom.”
Trump fired back, commenting: “Let me respond to this, to the rallies. She said people start leaving, people don’t go to her rallies. There’s no reason to go. And the people that do go, she’s busing them in and paying them to be there, and then showing them in a different light. So she can’t talk about that. People don’t leave my rallies. We have the biggest rallies, the most incredible rallies in the history of politics.”
US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks at a watch party after a presidential debate with former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump at the Cherry Street Pier in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on September 10, 2024. Harris’s odds of winning in November improved with 20 leading bookmakers following the debate.
JIM WATSON/AFP/GETTY
Trump’s campaign has not provided any credible proof to support their candidate’s claim that people are being paid to attend Harris rallies.
The debate also saw heated disagreement over abortion, with the Republican candidate commenting: “I’m not in favor of an abortion ban, but it doesn’t matter because this issue has now been taken over by the states. I wouldn’t have to.”
Trump later incorrectly referenced “the previous governor of West Virginia,” saying the state would decide “what to do with the baby” after it was born, sparking a rebuke from moderator Linsey Davis, who said: “There is no state in this country where it is legal to kill a baby after it’s born.”
Tuesday also saw Harris endorsed by megastar singer Taylor Swift. In an Instagram post, she said: “I will be casting my vote for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz in the 2024 Presidential Election. I’m voting for @kamalaharris because she fights for the rights and causes I believe need a warrior to champion them. I think she is a steady-handed, gifted leader and I believe we can accomplish so much more in this country if we are led by calm and not chaos.”
