Patriots vs. Jets Odds, Predictions, Best Bets: AFC Rivals Meet in N.Y.

The first Patriots-Jets matchup of 2024 will look very different than the recent meetings between these teams.

With Bill Belichick no longer in New England and the Jets boasting a QB their fans are excited about for the first time in ages, the Pats are heavy underdogs in the Meadowlands on Thursday night.

That makes this early-season AFC East showdown a must-watch after years of it belonging to New England. The Pats owned the Jets not only throughout Tom Brady‘s career as a Patriot, but in the post-Brady Belichick years as well, with a 7-1 record against the Jets from 2020 through 2023.

Patriots vs. Jets kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video, with Aaron Rodgers and the Jets favored by 6 or 6.5 points, depending on the sportsbook.

Patriots vs. Jets Betting Odds

Below are the odds for Thursday night’s game in three markets: the spread, moneyline and total.

$250 BONUS BETS

DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

$1,000 FIRST BET RESET (MUST USE CODE NEWSWEEK)

ESPN BET

UP TO $1,000 BONUS BETS

FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

$1,500 FIRST-BET OFFER

BETMGM

$200 BONUS OR $1,000 FIRST-BET SAFETY NET

BET365

$1,000 FIRST BET

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

$200 BONUS BETS

FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

Patriots vs. Jets Betting Preview

New England Patriots Betting News, Analysis

First-year head coach Jerod Mayo and the Patriots entered this year with a lowly win total over-under of just 4.5 due to low expectations for an offense that was one of the league’s worst a year ago.

So far, though, while the Pats are far from high-flying, they’ve been effective thanks to a run-heavy approach and mistake-free play from veteran QB Jacoby Brissett.

New England produced the biggest upset of Week 1, a 16-10 road win over Cincinnati, and the Pats took a good Seattle team to overtime at home last Sunday before falling by a field goal in OT.

Expectations for this defense in July were high, but questions about the unit arose during training camp after pass rusher Matthew Judon was traded to Atlanta and DT Christian Barmore was sidelined indefinitely with blood clots. But New England smothered Joe Burrow and the Bengals in Week 1 in one of the most impressive defense showings of the season to date. The Pats also played well enough on D for a win over Seattle, but couldn’t quite generate enough offense.

It’s only been two weeks, but even as injuries continue to mount (veteran middle linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley is now reportedly out for the season with a torn pec), the Patriots appear to be as stout on D as any team in the league. The front seven has produced six sacks, and the highly-touted secondary has lived up to the preseason hype.

Despite two matchups against good quarterbacks (Burrow and Seattle’s Geno Smith), ascending second-year corner Christian Gonzalez and veteran safeties Jabrill Peppers and Kyle Dugger have been as good as advertised. The secondary’s strong play (just one TD pass allowed) has helped New England surrender just 16.5 points per game so far this year, the fifth-fewest in the league.

New York Jets Betting News, Analysis

The story of the offseason for New York (both this summer and in 2022) was the blockbuster deal for Aaron Rodgers, who has gotten off to a solid start while shaking off the rust in his first meaningful action since the ’22 season.

Take 2 on Rodgers’ Jets debut did not go according to plan in a 32-19 loss to San Francisco in Week 1, but New York’s undoing in that game was on the defensive side of the ball.

So far this year, Rodgers has shown flashes of the arm strength that made him a four-time MVP as a Packer. The Jets have emphasized balance, though, with 43 runs and 59 passes over Weeks 1 and 2. New York even remained committed to the run in the opener after the Niners built a 16-7 halftime lead that ballooned to 23-7 midway through the third quarter.

Surprisingly, the question mark for the Jets defense is whether it can stop the run. New York’s struggles to stop the run against San Francisco were understandable, but still concerning, and while the Jets got better play up front against Tennessee, they still gave up 130 yards on the ground.

With offseason DE acquisition Haason Reddick holding out and DE Jermaine Johnson now done for the year after suffering a torn Achilles, the New York D needs to find answers on the line of scrimmage ASAP, as NE’s Rhamondre Stevenson will provide another stiff test for NYJ’s run defense on Thursday.

The fourth-year RB has been an effective bell cow this year, with 46 carries for 201 yards (4.4 yards per carry). It’s not just Stevenson, either; New England is top-five in the league in both carries (75) and total rushing yards (355) on the season.

Patriots vs. Jets Prediction, Best Bets

After a brutal Week 2 for heavy home favorites — and any bettors backing them — it’s hard to trust any team laying 6 points or more this weekend. In fact, on the year, underdogs of at least 5.5 points are 9-1 ATS and 5-5 SU, according to sports betting analyst Ben Fawkes.

But that’s not the only reason to be skeptical of the Jets covering the 6/6.5-point spread. New England beat the spread by 14.5 points in Week 1, with a 16-10 win as 8.5-point underdogs, and they covered as 3.5-point underdogs in Week 2 in a 23-20 loss.

The Pats are an underrated team worth backing to keep this game close, as they should be able to slow down a Jets offense that is yet to put it all together after making a number of changes this offseason.

We’re leaning toward New England on the spread in a low-scoring slugfest that we like to go under, even at the low currently available total of 38.5.

Patriots vs. Jets Best Bets

• Patriots +6.5 (-115 at DraftKings)
• Under 38.5 (-105 at FanDuel)

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